Onyx Trading™
01/09
INVESTOR THESIS · JULY 2026

ONYX
TRADING

Better Rules. Better Trading.

The Trader Intelligence Platform

This document is for informational purposes only and does not constitute an offer to sell or a solicitation to buy securities.

Onyx TradingINVESTOR THESIS · JULY 2026
Onyx Trading™
02/09
01 — The Thesis

Prop firms monetize failure.
Onyx monetizes intelligence.

Every evaluation, every trade, every decision made on our platform trains an intelligence engine. The prop firm isn't the business. It's the sensor network.

Onyx is the only prop model where the firm makes more money when traders win.

Onyx TradingINVESTOR THESIS · JULY 2026
Onyx Trading™
03/09
02 — The Problem

An industry built on its customers losing.

Only 5–10% of traders pass evaluations. Roughly 7% of evaluation buyers ever receive a payout. The average trader spends $800+ across multiple attempts before a first payout — if it ever comes.

A wave of sudden firm collapses and frozen payouts (2024–2026) has made trust the scarcest asset in a $2–4B/yr category — and incumbent economics require customer failure, so incumbents cannot earn it back.

The model is adversarial by construction. Traders know it. Regulators know it.

Onyx TradingINVESTOR THESIS · JULY 2026
Onyx Trading™
04/09
03 — The Model

Aligned incentives —
structurally, not rhetorically.

1
ONYX TRADING

Transparent evaluations, fully published rules, trader-first payout terms. Evaluation revenue funds the platform and is cash-generative from day one.

2
ONYXQUANT

Every trade trains the intelligence engine. Trader survival scoring, behavioral discipline prediction, regime-aware risk pricing.

3
ONYXALPHA CAPITAL

House capital mirrors our best traders. The traders who cost incumbents the most are our revenue source. Later: anonymized intelligence licensing to institutions (OnyxIntel).

Onyx TradingINVESTOR THESIS · JULY 2026
Onyx Trading™
05/09
04 — The Platform

Four products. One published rulebook. Zero fine print.

ONYXEDGE
structured evaluation
ONYXFLUX
flexible evaluation path
ONYXSURGE
instant funding
ONYXELITE
live capital, real execution, uncapped

Every account includes OnyxTradr — plan declaration, real-time rule proximity, and trade-by-trade feedback calibrated to how the trader actually trades — plus a personal Intelligence Lab powered by the same engine that runs the firm.

Other firms sell a test and profit when you fail it. We built the tools that help traders pass, because our model only works when they succeed.

Onyx TradingINVESTOR THESIS · JULY 2026
Onyx Trading™
06/09
05 — The Engine

Recursive self-improvement, defined honestly.

Every model in OnyxQuant logs its predictions, scores them against realized outcomes, and retrains on a fixed cadence. The system provably improves with every trade taken on the platform.

LOOP 1Trader Intelligence

Predicts funded-account survival and expected value per trader. Drives capital allocation and dynamic risk pricing.

LOOP 2Behavioral Intelligence

Predicts discipline breakdown before it happens. Drives real-time trader interventions in OnyxTradr.

Four further loops — strategy, market regime, model-decay, and human performance — activate as data density grows.

Onyx TradingINVESTOR THESIS · JULY 2026
Onyx Trading™
07/09
06 — The Flagship

The Ultimate Trader

Reality competition meets verified trading. 24 traders. 30 days. A seven-figure prize pool.

Live capital, full biometrics, complete consent — filmed Q1 2027, announced at launch.

Every episode is marketing. Every contestant is a data-rich case study. Every viewer is a platform lead. And the production doubles as OnyxQuant's controlled study — the richest trader-performance dataset ever filmed.

Nobody else can make this show, because nobody else profits when the traders win.

Onyx TradingINVESTOR THESIS · JULY 2026
Onyx Trading™
08/09
07 — Executed, Not Promised

Where the company stands today.

  • TradeSea platform licensing signed and executed — CME futures via Rithmic infrastructure
  • onyxtrading.io live — four account products specified, published-rules architecture
  • OnyxTradr app in development; OnyxQuant Loops 1–2 specified to build order
  • Data pipeline live in production as of July 2026
Launch · September 1, 2026
Onyx TradingINVESTOR THESIS · JULY 2026
Onyx Trading™
09/09
08 — The Founder

Built by someone who's lived every side of this.

14 years
Trading options and futures live (MNQ / MES) — the customer.
Series 7 / 63
Former licensed — the regulated industry.
BSc
Neuroscience — the behavioral science underneath trader performance.

Solo-built to date: the full product architecture, working prototypes, the analytical systems, and the executed platform licensing.

"Trader intelligence isn't a pivot for me. It's the intersection of everything I've done."

Onyx TradingINVESTOR THESIS · JULY 2026
Onyx Trading™
09/09
Onyx Trading

The full story is a conversation.

This teaser is for informational purposes only and does not constitute an offer to sell or a solicitation of an offer to buy any securities. Any offering of securities, if made, will be conducted only pursuant to applicable securities laws and definitive offering documents.